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DE

Ibn Khaldun - Policy Brief
On The Four Pillars of Long-term Economic Growth

The MENA Region Case

10.04.2025

1.5 Minutes

Middle East and North Africa

IBN 3

What drives lasting economic growth in the Middle East and North Africa (MENA) region?

In his latest policy brief, “On The Four Pillars of Long-term Economic Growth: The MENA Region Case,” economist Nabil ADEL explores this pressing question by identifying four key foundations for sustainable development: affordable energy, demographic dynamics, institutional construction, and technological maturity.

These four interconnected pillars, drawn from both historical evidence and contemporary regional case studies, reveal why some economies thrive while others struggle to maintain momentum. ADEL highlights how countries like the UAE, Tunisia, and China have strategically aligned national policies with these core pillars to foster growth and resilience. At the same time, he examines critical challenges such as resource dependency, youth unemployment, and institutional inefficiencies that continue to hinder progress across parts of the region.

From the Industrial Revolution to today’s global push for clean energy, the study draws lessons on how access to affordable and sustainable power can boost productivity. It also looks at how population trends—whether the potential of a youth bulge or the risks of demographic aging—affect the region’s long-term prospects. Furthermore, it underscores the role of strong, transparent institutions in creating an environment where innovation and investment can flourish.

This policy brief serves as a must-read for policymakers, economists, and anyone interested in the structural transformation of the MENA region. It not only provides a rich analysis but also offers actionable insights for fostering inclusive and future-proof economic strategies.

Download the full policy brief to explore the complete analysis and recommendations:

Download